Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers
Assess and treat individuals with mental, emotional, or substance abuse problems, including providing therapy, crisis intervention, case management, client advocacy, prevention, and education.
2038 Supply (SQ)
99,450
2038 Demand (SQ)
116,480
2038 Gap
-17,030
2038 Elevated Need
161,510
Supply & demand trend — US Total, Total
HRSA scenarios · 13 lines
Each line is a separate HRSA projection. Blue = supply, red = demand. The two solid "Status Quo" lines are the baseline projections HRSA publishes; dashed lines are HRSA's own stress tests. Hover a line for the exact year value, or click a chip below to isolate it.
Supply scenarios
Demand scenarios
Methodology notes
- All values come directly from HRSA's Workforce_Projections_FullData.xlsx (FY2025 release).
- Values are rounded to the nearest 10 per HRSA disclosure convention.
- The chart shows every scenario HRSA publishes for this (profession, geography, rurality) tuple. Missing lines = scenario not applicable to this profession (e.g., Income Effect only applies to oral health; Unmet Need only to behavioral health).
- See Methodology & Sourcesfor HRSA's model assumptions and our extension plan.